Monday, September 16, 2013

USD/CAD Weekly Fundamental Analysis September 16-20, 2013 Forecast

Posted September 14, 2013 9:50 (GMT) | By FX Empire Analyst - Barry Norman | Print | Font Size      
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usdcad weekly bnsWeekly Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/CAD dropped this week to close at 1.0355 after opening on Monday at 1.0414. The U.S. dollar fell against all but the yen among its 16 most-traded peers this week as the country entered talks with Russia on a plan for Syria to give up its chemical weapons arsenal and avoid the possibility of a U.S. strike, which had boosted the appeal of the greenback as a haven asset.

The Federal Open Market Committee will decide to reduce monthly purchases of Treasuries to $35 billion from $45 billion, according to the median of 34 responses in a Bloomberg survey of economists. Policy makers will maintain mortgage-bond buying at $40 billion, the survey shows.

 Canadian housing starts came in at an annualized 180.3k in August, in line with the average so far this year, which is 183k, and weaker than consensus expectations for August, which was 190k. Canadian markets will play follow-the-leader south of the 49th next week as the outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting will dictate the tone of the Canadian market. Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz seems to have developed an early liking for speaking ahead of widely watched Federal Reserve developments. He did it in July and will do so again on Wednesday. Canadian data risk will be modest.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Major Economic Events for the week of September 9-13 actual v. forecast for the Canadian & US Dollar

Chinese Fixed Asset Investment (YoY) 

Chinese Industrial Production (YoY) 

Historical: From 2011 to present

Highest: 1.0657 CAD on Oct 04, 2011

Average: 1.0042 CAD over this period

Lowest: 0.9407  CAD on Jul 26, 2011

 usdcad 0914bnsnla

Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the American and Canadian Markets

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Sep 16 09:00 Slovakia

Sep 16 09:10 Norway

Sep 17 08:30 Spain

Sep 17 09:30 Belgium

Sep 18 09:10 Sweden

Sep 18 09:30 Germany

Sep 18 09:30 Portugal

Sep 19 08:30 Spain

Sep 19 08:50 France

Sep 19 09:30 UK

Sep 19 09:50 France

Sep 19 15:00 US

Sep 19 17:00 US

Sep 20 15:30 Italy


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